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—spread—— win su ——-over-under
Buffalo Bills -3 na ov 43 5-2 SU, 4-1-2 ATS, 3-4 over/under
New York Jets +3 na un 43 3-5 SU, 5-2-1 ATS, 4-4 over/under
It is hard to figure whether the Buffalo Bills or the NY Jets are the bigger surprise this season. The Bills are just a half-game out of first place in the AFC East, and the NY Jets, have won 3 games and have been competitive in most of their losses Buffalo has more significance because the Bills are actually in a decent position to make the playoffs for the first time since 1999. A win on Thursday Night Football would be another big step towards ending that postseason drought
Predictions: New York Jets +3
Neither the Bills or Jets get us excited, as both have some clear signs of regression. It’s hard to overlook the +14 turnover margin for Buffalo, , especially with a short week and a first-year head coach. The Jets defense is not as good as the bare numbers would suggest, but Buffalo’s offense is 1 of 11 teams averaging less than 5 yards per play. Only Kansas City has turned the ball over fewer times than Buffalo, so the risk-averse style is working, but for how long? You don’t often see teams that are -0.5 yards per play sitting at 6-2, but Buffalo would be one with a win here. If regression doesn’t come this week, it should come soon, so we’ll side with the Jets and the points.